Special Sessions

SS 15

Secondary Risks, Cascading Effects, and Resilient Decision-Making in Complex Engineering and Infrastructure Systems
复杂工程与基建系统:次生风险、级联效应与韧性决策


Complex engineering and infrastructure systems, such as transportation networks, high-speed rail systems, energy systems, and major engineering projects, are increasingly exposed to uncertainty, interdependence, and dynamic disturbances. In such systems, initial disruptions rarely remain isolated. Instead, they often trigger secondary risks, cascading failures, and unintended consequences through network coupling, operational interactions, resource constraints, and managerial responses. These follow-on effects may significantly degrade system performance, delay recovery, and amplify economic and social losses. This special session focuses on the modeling, assessment, and optimization of secondary risks and cascading effects in complex engineering and infrastructure systems. It aims to bridge perspectives from reliability and resilience analysis, complex network theory, engineering project management, planning and control, and optimization under uncertainty. Particular attention will be paid to how robustness, vulnerability, and resilience can be jointly analyzed when disturbances propagate across interconnected technical and managerial structures.
The session particularly welcomes recent advances in secondary risk scenario generation, including data-driven, simulation-based, and generative approaches for constructing plausible, diverse, and decision-relevant scenarios. It also encourages contributions on optimization of secondary risk response strategies, including preventive actions, adaptive interventions, and multi-stage decision models under uncertainty. By integrating methodological innovation with practical applications, this session seeks to advance a more comprehensive understanding of how secondary risks and cascading effects can be identified, generated, evaluated, and managed across engineering and infrastructure contexts. It aims to provide both theoretical insights and actionable guidance for improving the safety, resilience, and decision quality of complex real-world systems.

Topics of Interest

 Secondary risks and cascading effects in complex engineering systems
 Cascading failure modeling in transportation, high-speed rail, and infrastructure networks
 Project portfolio management and optimization under propagated uncertainties
 Secondary risk scenario generation methods
 Data-driven, simulation-based, and generative approaches for secondary risk scenario construction
 Optimization of secondary risk response plans under uncertainty
 Risk-informed optimization for secondary risk mitigation and resilience enhancement...

Info.

Special Session Chair(s):

Fei Zuo
Shenyang Aerospace University, China
Libiao Bai
Chang’an University, China
Yucheng Hao
Beijing Jiaotong University, China